Moderate sign · one listing
Small consecutive bids under the leader
Three or more small bids in a row that each fall just short of the leader’s maximum.
Updated
What it looks like on eBay
- In the bid history, the same masked bidder appears again and again a few dollars apart, each time followed by the leader’s automatic bid.
- The pattern ends when the bids reach the leader’s maximum, and the probing bidder stops.
Why it counts
Probing a leader’s maximum in small steps raises the final price without the prober risking a win. In the UCI dataset, this kind of repeated outbidding was rare among ordinary bidders.
Innocent explanations
A present sign is a reason to look closer, not a conclusion. Common innocent reasons for this one:
- Many bidders bid cautiously, one step at a time, to avoid overpaying. This is the most common reason for the pattern.
- A bidder may simply be deciding how high to go as they go.
- Bidders on phones often tap the suggested next bid repeatedly.
Check it yourself
- Open the bid history and read the bids from the bottom (earliest) up.
- Look for one masked bidder bidding several times in a row, each time immediately outbid by an automatic bid from the same other bidder.
- Check whether that bidder stopped just below the final price.
Read more about shill bidding and how to spot it, or see how Susbid decides a sign is present.
Watching an auction?
Capture its bid history and see which signs are present, with the evidence for each.